“Unveiling the Future: 70 Jaw-Dropping Predictions Set to Transform Our Lives in the Next 30 Years!”
Ever wonder how good we really are at predicting the future? I mean, if experts can’t do better than a bunch of dart-throwing monkeys, what hope do the rest of us have? This intriguing dilemma was unearthed by Philip Tetlock, who found that even the most credentialed pundits struggled to accurately forecast monumental events—like the fate of the Soviet Union! As shocking as it sounds, his research suggested that folks who toy with multiple explanations tend to fare better than those who cling tightly to a single grand theory. A little chaos in our thinking might be just what we need. With that in mind, a curious Reddit user, Tastylikesugar, decided to tap into the collective wisdom of the internet to uncover what people expect might happen in the next thirty years. Spoiler alert: it’s a wild ride! So buckle up, and let’s dive into some of the fascinating predictions that have emerged! <a href="https://penntoday.upenn.edu/2015-10-22/research/focus-accuracy-geopolitical-forecasting" target="blank” rel=”nofollow noopener”>LEARN MORE.
One of the most famous pieces of research on prediction was done by Philip Tetlock. He asked a group of pundits and foreign affairs experts to speculate about various geopolitical events, like whether the Soviet Union would disintegrate by 1993.
Interestingly, the “experts” struggled to perform better than “dart-throwing chimps,” and were consistently less accurate than even relatively simple statistical algorithms. This was true of both liberals and conservatives, and regardless of professional credentials.
What Tetlock also uncovered was that people who preferred to consider multiple explanations and balance them together had superior results to those who relied on a single big idea.
So since our guess can be as good as any, Reddit user Tasty_likesugar decided to ask random minds on the internet to share the things they believe will almost certainly happen in the next three decades. Below are the replies they’ve received.
#1
There will be more effective d***s to slow down the progression of Alzheimer’s. At least I hope so.
